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@themarket: Global Interest Rates Rise, Global Stocks Fall
By Bill Schmick,
11:05AM / Saturday, July 08, 2017
It is something we really haven't seen in quite some time. Back in the day, before the financial crisis, interest rates and stocks most often moved in opposite directions. This week investors got a taste of what the future might hold.   U.S Treasury yields on the 10-year note (the benchmark average) ticked up to 2.39 percent at one point. Across the pond, the German Bund (their benchmark) rose .5 percent. Those were big moves in the debt world. Why are interest rates on the rise all of a sudden after years of declines?   Some would say it just had to happen. Global central bank policy has just been too loose for too long. I don't necessarily agree with

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@theMarket: Markets in Pullback Mode
By Bill Schmick,
05:31PM / Friday, June 16, 2017
Technology stocks continued to consolidate while the Dow made new highs and the S&P 500 Index hovered just below historical highs. Throw in the fact that the markets are notoriously slow and biased to the downside during the summer months, and you have a recipe for further consolidation.   That does not necessarily mean that we will see some sharp and painful correction in stocks. My regular readers understand that the averages could simply move sideways for a month or two before resuming their upward climb. However, within those averages, individual stocks and sectors could experience much deeper declines.   Take the present decline in the technology-laden

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@theMarket: FOMO Fuels the Markets
By Bill Schmick,
05:43PM / Friday, June 09, 2017
The fear of missing out (or FOMO) has supported the stock market averages this week. Although it appeared that the indexes simply marked time, appearances can be deceiving.    We made new record highs again this week as investors piled into stocks on any sign of weakness. The fear that stocks will go ever higher fueled those who are underweighted in equities to buy, buy buy. The S&P 500 Index has reached the lower end of my target (2,443) but could easily spike to 2,475, which is at the top of my range.   In bull markets, and this one certainly qualifies, I often observe traders attention move from concentrating on one set of sectors to focusing on

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@theMarket: Markets Still on a Roll
By Bill Schmick,
05:55PM / Friday, June 02, 2017

Additional gains propelled stocks higher this week with all three averages closing at record highs once again. Despite the fact that more and more experts are warning of a possible fall in the averages, investors continue to pile into stocks. Should you?

The short answer is no, wait for that decline, unless you have no exposure to the stock market. That would be hard for me to believe if you have been reading my column regularly. My readers also know that the threat of a pullback hangs over the market all the time since we can expect as many as 2-3 declines in the stock market every year.

The economy, however, is still growing enough, and interest rates are still low enough, to

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@theMarket: Markets Climb Higher
By Bill Schmick,
06:37PM / Friday, May 26, 2017
In the absence of any earth-shaking news, stocks tend to follow the recent trend. That trend, since the election has been up, so ... The question to ask: when we can logically expect that trend to change?   As readers may recall, my target for the S&P 500 Index is somewhere between 2,443 and 2,475, which I expect we will hit before the end of the second quarter. This week, we broke 2,400, regaining everything that was lost in last Wednesday's 2 percent downdraft. Now, that 2,400 price level should act as a support for the bulls.   "Are you still bullish?" asked one of my clients yesterday.   "That depends upon your time

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