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The Retired Investor: Back to the Future in Nuclear Energy
By Bill Schmick,
04:44PM / Thursday, October 10, 2024
In the 1950s, nuclear was deemed the energy of the future. Unfortunately, the world's ardor for replacing fossil fuels with clean atomic energy hit a brick wall in the 1970s. It is only recently, after decades of false hopes, that we may be entering a new age of U.S. nuclear power.   Today, nuclear power represents no more than 20 percent of U.S. electricity, and that may be an overstatement. The industry's brick wall occurred in March 1979 at Three Mile Island in Middletown, Pa. A partial meltdown of its Unit 2 reactor released a small amount of radioactivity.   I remember it well. The leak resulted from equipment malfunctions, design-related problems,

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The Retired Investor: Economic Storm Clouds Could Be Just Around the Corner
By Bill Schmick,
04:17PM / Thursday, October 03, 2024
The U.S. economy continues to grow, fueled by generous fiscal spending in an election year, robust corporate earnings, and a consumer willing to keep spending. The Federal Reserve Bank's loosening of monetary policy last month also promises to boost growth.   That dovetails with my expectations, at least in the short term. I expect economic growth will continue to show decent numbers when the third-quarter GDP data is released. At the same time, we should see additional modest progress in reducing inflation. September's CPI inflation data, however, could mark the low for this inflation cycle, in my opinion.   That is certainly not the consensus view.

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The Retired Investor: My Economic Outlook into 2025
By Bill Schmick,
02:29PM / Friday, September 27, 2024
On the back of last week's half-point cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve Bank, equities and many commodities rallied anticipating continued growth in the U.S. economy. Why, therefore, did bond prices plunge?   Normally, after the Federal Reserve Bank begins an interest rate-cutting cycle, bond prices rally, and yields fall. But not this time. Economists were scratching their heads all week looking for answers. The explanation is straightforward.   For weeks before the meeting, many traders were betting that the Fed would be too slow to cut interest rates. And when and if they did it would be a small cut. That delay increased the probability that

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The Retired Investor: Deals Coming Back in Some Consumer Areas
By Bill Schmick,
04:45PM / Thursday, September 19, 2024
Consumers have been bludgeoned for years by higher prices. In this era of inflation, discounts disappeared as prices of everyday items climbed higher and higher each year. It has been a long time, but value is finally returning in various consumer areas.   This summer could be called the season of markdowns as corporations across America have become concerned that price-sensitive consumers have been trading down to cheaper goods and services. Many companies have seen sales decline as discount stores and labels have taken market share.   While the Federal Reserve Bank and the Biden administration applaud the progress made on inflation, the truth for the consumer

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The Retired Investor: Fewer Babies Threaten Future U.S. Economic Growth.
By Bill Schmick,
04:37PM / Thursday, September 12, 2024
The fertility rate in the United States has fallen by 3 percent since 2022. That is a historic low and marks the second yearly decline in a row. How will that impact the economy?   In the simplest terms, if you have lower population growth then you will have fewer people producing goods and services. That will result in slower economic growth. But it is not the only impact. A shrinking workforce will also mean there are fewer people paying taxes.   In a country like ours that has seen decades of increased spending and higher debt, the question becomes who will pay this growing obligation.   As our deficits expand at an increasing rate, while the

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