@theMarket: Countertrend Bounce Ends Quarter But Sell-down Should ContinueBy Bill Schmick,
03:48PM / Friday, September 29, 2023 | |
September has been a story of higher-bond yields, a stronger dollar, and spiking oil prices. The higher these assets climbed, the lower the stock market fell. And now we enter October, a month that is notorious for providing negative returns at least in the first weeks of the month.
"Tread cautiously" was how I described September-October several weeks ago. History indicates that those are the two worst months for stocks. So far that advice has proven accurate. The stock market has had its worst decline all year and the prospects that this sell-off will continue are high despite the dead cat bounce we are enjoying right now.
While yields, the 0 Comments
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The Retired Investor: The Day-Care CrisisBy Bill Schmick,
04:19PM / Thursday, September 28, 2023 | |
On Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, $24 billion in emergency funding for the nation's child day-care industry expires. Estimates are that as many as 70,000 care centers or more will close over the next year, impacting as many as 3.2 million kids. The downside for working women with young children could be even more substantial.
In recent columns, I have written of the gains women have made in the post-pandemic labor force. Women's workforce participation, especially women with children under 5, is higher than it has ever been (at 70.4 percent, compared to a pre-pandemic high of 68.9 percent). That brings the employment gap between men and women to record 0 Comments
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@theMarket: Fed's 'Higher for Longer' Message DisappointsBy Bill Schmick,
04:50PM / Friday, September 22, 2023 | |
The financial markets were expecting a lot of good news out of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting this week. Investors were betting that not only would the Fed pause, but possibly announce an end of interest rate hikes altogether. Some even expected a timetable for future rate cuts that would be sooner than later.
The market was right on the pause in interest rate hikes. The U.S. central bank decided not to hike the Fed funds rate but that was about the extent of the good news. In his Q&A session after the meeting, Chair Jerome Powell reiterated his message that further rate hikes were still on the table, but they would proceed "carefully." They have 0 Comments
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The Retired Investor: Rescheduling Cannabis Could Boost ProfitsBy Bill Schmick,
04:02PM / Thursday, September 21, 2023 | |
Over the last month, pot stocks have spiked higher. Some have doubled in price. The news that the U.S. Drug Enforcement Agency may reclassify marijuana from Schedule I of the Controlled Substances Act to Schedule III has given new hope to this beleaguered industry and investors.
The effort to reclassify started 10 months ago when the Biden administration directed the Department of Health and Human Services to review the scheduling of cannabis under federal law. As a result of that review, HHS sent a letter to the DEA recommending a proposed schedule change.
Currently, marijuana is listed as a Schedule I drug with no accepted medical use and a high potential 0 Comments
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@theMarket: Oil Prices Boost Inflation But Don't Deter InvestorsBy Bill Schmick,
10:26AM / Saturday, September 16, 2023 | |
Stocks did remarkably well this week considering the macroeconomic data. That could be signaling further upside soon for the financial markets.
The decline in the inflation rate over the past six months has been encouraging. However, the recent climb in oil and gasoline prices threatens to put a crimp in the trend of declining inflation.
As I have written many times before, oil is the fuel that powers the global economy. It is involved in every stage of production and as such, its price has an enormous influence on the rate of inflation. Thanks to production cuts by OPEC-plus over the last few months, the price of oil has risen from roughly $65 a barrel to 0 Comments
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