@theMarket: Fed No Longer in the Driver's SeatBy Bill Schmick,
03:25PM / Friday, March 21, 2025 | |
This week, the Federal Reserve Bank hiked its inflation forecast and reduced the growth target for the economy this year. Despite this news, traders termed the March FOMC meeting a "dovish pause," although it did not help the stock market.
The upshot of Chairman Jerome Powell's Q&A session on Wednesday afternoon after the FOMC meeting was that as far as the future is concerned, the Fed would need to wait and see just like the rest of us. In the meantime, the bank decided to slow its quantitative tightening program. That was interpreted as dovish by most Fed watchers since it does add liquidity to the credit markets.
Powell did say tariffs 0 Comments
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The Retired Investor: Foreign Money Going Home as American Market Dominance Begins to FallBy Bill Schmick,
04:38PM / Thursday, March 20, 2025 | |
The Trump administration's economic policies have placed a target on the back of most foreign nations. As for the economy, a slowdown, if not a recession, seems to be around the corner. As such, overseas investors have little reason to remain in America's financial markets.
Foreign investors represent about 17 percent of the overall holdings in the U.S. equity market and about the same in the bond market. Over the last 15 years, as I wrote in my previous column, American markets were the only game in town. While our share of the world's economy was only 27 percent, our share of the world's total investments was 70 percent.
America was 0 Comments
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@theMarket: The Markets' Flash CorrectionBy Bill Schmick,
03:17PM / Friday, March 14, 2025 | |
The market's decline has been one of the fastest in history. The fall has been fueled by the Trump administration's economic policies. The question most investors are wrestling with is what to do about it.
Looking back on this period in a year or two, I guarantee that most investors will have trouble remembering exactly what happened. There is nothing abnormal in this decline thus far except its speed. It is a simple garden variety pullback, which occurs at least once a year if not more. It is the price of doing business for equity investors and savers with tax-deferred retirement accounts.
Given that, the decline is probably a good thing for an 0 Comments
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The Retired Investor: U.S. Dominance of Global MarketsBy Bill Schmick,
04:15PM / Thursday, March 13, 2025 | |
It has been a great run. For 15 years, the U.S. stock market has been the envy of the world. Led by the FANG stocks, global investors could not get enough of American stocks — until now.
By the end of 2024, global investors had committed more capital to America than ever before. At the same time, the dollar traded at a higher value than ever since the world abandoned fixed exchange rates 50 years ago.
While America's share of the global economy was 27 percent, its stock market represented 70 percent of the worldwide stock market. Since 1992, every year China has grown closer to the U.S. as the world's biggest economy. China's GDP has grown 0 Comments
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@theMarket: Tariff Talk Trashes Stocks as Stagflation Fears RiseBy Bill Schmick,
04:20PM / Friday, March 07, 2025 | |
The latest worry to plague Wall Street is lower growth and rising inflation. What is worse, the tariff war that President Trump insists will lead to a "golden age" for America is proving to be a nightmare for financial markets.
"There will be a little disturbance, but we are OK with that," the president admitted Tuesday evening in his address to Congress. His mission that night was to sell America on his vision of a new economy of high tariffs, low immigration, low taxes, and low regulation. Main Street is buying that message, with approval ratings of almost 70 percent of those who watched the address. Unfortunately, global financial markets are not so 0 Comments
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